Aftermarket Domain Values Somewhat Exponential

ICANN has a pretty good reporting tool on their site (I’ll give you the url at the end because I want you to read my article first :-)). It’s a dynamic tool that shows registry numbers. Unfortunately I couldn’t find a graph today showing registrar rankings which is what I was seeking. I normally use WebHosting.info for that but something about the numbers there seemed off so I thought I’d go to the “source”, ICANN. Hopefully, some day soon we’ll be able to see that (or at least I’ll find where).

Regardless, viewing this chart gave me an insight on something I’ve been thinking for some time; the exponential value of dot.com domain names. By the nature of the distribution of registration numbers, it’s really difficult to place .com on a chart along with the others with any sort of true proportion. Dot.com has about 100 Million domains registered. The next largest (not including ccTLDs is dot.net which is in the range of 14 Million.
tld-rankiings-domain-values

So ICANN’s solution is to use a chart based somewhat exponentially (Ok, more accurately, multiples of ten but you know what I mean). It goes from 100 (one hundred) to 1,000 one thousand to 10,000 (ten thousand) to 100,000 (one hundred thousand) to 1,000,000 (one million) to 10,000,000 (ten million) to 100,000,000 (one hundred million) and finally includes 1,000,000,000 (one billion). Who knows? I remember when I thought two or three million domains registered was amazing!

But here’s the point of this article. This distribution is a picture of aftermarket values which I’ve seen as exponentially distributed as well. My method is not scientific but I still think it holds water. Here’s kind of how it goes….

If Fences.com is worth $80,000, then Fences.net or Fences.org are probably worth something like $8,000 and Fences.us is worth in the range of $800. Everything removed from the generic dot.com domain reduces it’s relative value exponentially.

This can also be extended to adding important words to the generic term (still in dot.com). For example, using the Fences.com example again… SteelFences.com (two keywords in the domain) might be worth something like $8,000 and SteelYardFences.com (three keywords) something like $800.

I was first introduced to this idea from a friend on a forum ten years ago. I think it’s still true today. Let me know your thoughts. And if anyone has insight on a source of good and current registrar ranking data, please make a comment or send me a note.

Now the wildcard is New TLDs. I wonder how this will play out with domain values?

Here’s the ICANN reporting URL.

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MLS Domains Association Selects CentralNic as Registry Provider

dot.mls domain chooses CentralNicAssociation cites CentralNic’s experience with integrated registry and registrar services as key factor in selecting registry back-end service provider

MLS Domains Association, a non-profit association of U.S. multiple listing services, has selected CentralNic Ltd. as its registry back-end service provider for the new .MLS top-level domain. The Association concluded a due diligence process late in 2011 and executed the contract with CentralNic this month…

Read the story… | Source: Circle ID | Date posted: 2/22/2012

Learn more about MLS Domains Association…

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Dot Brand Solutions Comments on New TLDs

Our CEO, Ben Crawford, was in Santa Monica last week to meet with several customers and resellers and while he was in town, commented in a news article for the LA Biz Journal about New TLDs.

Ben pointed out that new TLDs could push the price for premium dot-com domain much higher. See the article in PDF format here:

New Domains Can Mean a Boom for Domain Name Brokers

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ANA Proposes “Do Not Sell” List

It’s sad to see the ANA so engaged in opposing new TLDs & the ICANN process now that ICANN is already taking applications. The ANA’s leadership continues to do their members a disservice. I don’t know the leadership of the ANA but if part of the ANA’s association charter is to advocate for their members, they have been derelict in their duty. They need new leadership badly.

Advocacy involves studying important issues while they are in the process of being proposed. It is knowing the issues before their emergence. Strong advocacy requires a PROactive stance. The ANA’s stance has been nothing short of REactive. They are in emergency mode and continue to threaten costly and unproductive legal battles because they ignored domain names and ICANN for so many years.

I have watched ICANN go through at least three rounds of new TLD introductions since 2001. All decisions to introduce new TLDs have been open and public. There have been hundreds of Intellectual Property Attorneys and consultants at these meetings but I can’t recall any comments or ideas from the ANA since June of 2008 (until the past few months). In fact, there were advocates for new TLDs in Sao Paolo, Brazil in 2006. There has been plenty of time (at least 6 years) for any stakeholder to get involved and affect the process.

It’s time for the ANA to stop fighting new TLDs on the basis of not having the chance to participate. They had the chance. But more important, if the ANA cares about their members, they need to begin showing them the benefits and opportunities that new TLDs can bring.

I suppose that the ANA is right in one way; some brands will be blindsided. But it won’t be in the way they expect. In fact, there are many trademark defenses already built into ICANN’s new TLD program. Under existing laws and with the UDRP, rapid Take Down Programs, and Trademark Clearinghouses, brands will be able to protect their trademarks.

What will happen is the brands will watch on the sidelines as their generic product category TLDs will be taken up by entrepreneurs and opportunists who kept abreast of the program since the start; something the ANA should have been doing for their members all along.

Read the story… | Source: ANA.Net | Date posted: 2/7/2012

ANA Do Not Sell Proposal FAQ… | Source: ANA.net | Date posted: 2/7/2012

Read the story… | Source: B to B Online | Date posted: 2/7/2012

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